George ILIEV
What could insects and birds have in common with startups and governments? Could the size of one side of the pair be related to the danger that the other side poses?
In nature, it appears there may be a connection:
Maximum insect size tracked atmospheric oxygen levels surprisingly well for about 200 million years between 350 million years ago and 150 million years ago, as more oxygen allowed the existence of creatures with a bigger body mass. When oxygen concentration in the atmosphere soared to 30% around 300 million years ago, dragonfly-type insects reached a 70 cm wing span. Then, at the end of the Jurassic period about 150 million years ago this connection seemed to have broken: oxygen levels went up again but insect size paradoxically went down. However, this strikingly coincided with the evolution of birds. "With predatory birds on the wing, the need for maneuverability became a driving force in the evolution of flying insects, favouring smaller body size."
(Dragonfly in the Rodope Mountains, southern Bulgaria, 2010)
In the business world, instead of oxygen concentration, the level of transaction costs in an economy seems to determine the size of companies - though in the reverse way. In emerging markets with weaker institutions and high transaction costs companies need to grow bigger. The size and scope of a diversified conglomerate allows corporate organisations to internalise (and thus minimise) transaction costs by doing deals internally instead of going to the market.
However, in Sub-Saharan Africa we can hardly find any large-scale companies. Could this be put down to predatory governments assuming the role of the predatory birds in the least developed economies? Bribe-taking officials and rent-seeking institutions preying on companies and startups might be stopping them from growing in size in the same way that pre-historic birds have possibly limited the size of pre-historic insects. The rest is history. Or, more precisely, evolutionary history.
In the current economic climate, banks and corporations get vilified while government intervention is often glorified. However, to reinforce my comparison of dysfunctional governments with the predatory birds at the end of the Jurassic era, I would call on the economist James Buchanan, who died last month. He won the 1986 Nobel Prize winner in Economics for his "public choice theory" in which he explores, among others, government failure. He shows how even in developed western societies politicians can undermine fair and simple tax systems. Thus distribution becomes re-distribution and the birds of prey get their fill of the insect world.
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