Showing posts with label China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label China. Show all posts

6 May 2019

Efficiency leads to displacement: in plant crops and in industries

By George ILIEV
CorporateNature Metaphor Series, No 93

Efficiency leads to displacement. In agriculture, sugar cane is more efficient than sugar beet in capturing the sun's energy and storing it as sugar, so the bulk of sugar produced in the world is now cane sugar. Similarly, the potato is more efficient than turnips in capturing and storing energy as starch, so it has displaced turnips in European agriculture since its introduction from the Americas in the 16th century.

In the industrial world, the Flying Geese Model in East Asian economic development shows industries (production of commoditised goods) being transferred from more advanced to less advanced countries. At some point, the Bangladeshi textile industry or the Chinese chemical industry simply became more efficient than Japan's and Japan found itself unable to compete against them, just like turnips and sugar beet had to give up competing against potatoes and sugar cane.

Flying Geese (Source: Wikipedia)

2 January 2019

China is a juvenile elephant: Vulnerable now but invincible in 10 years

By George ILIEV
CorporateNature Metaphor Series, No 71.

China is a juvenile elephant, in both economic, military and scientific terms. Elephants keep growing until they are 20 years old. China has at least a decade more to go until it reaches full size. Whereas the US is a full-grown tiger which has already reached the peak of its power.

The juvenile elephant is still vulnerable to predators but give it another 10 years and no rival (or predator) will dare to confront it. So Donald Trump, while generally lacking in strategic thinking, is for once acting strategically. He is aware that despite his "Make America Great Again" sloganeering, his country is an ageing tiger. He is playing hardball with China now because this is the last opportunity for the US to influence China. In 10 years, China will simply brush the US aside - not necessarily as an enemy but as a nuisance.

Juvenile elephant (Source: Wikipedia)